Author: Dave

I'm a software developer turned business analyst with a passion for writing. I take an interest in anything intellectually stimulating especially global issues, politics and humor. I love travelling and seeing other cultures as well as a good exchange of ideas and wit.

Say good bye to jetlag!

I was recently preparing for my first long haul flight from Malta to Japan. I have been around Europe quite a bit, venturing as far north as Scandinavia and Iceland, but up until last October I had never really experienced a flight longer than 4 hours, and never on a long haul wide-bodied aircraft.

I was excited, yet slightly on edge, especially given my comfort with flying in general had not exactly been increasing lately. Nevertheless, armed with Google, I set about researching what to expect. Multiple meals on board – check. Tons of movies – great! All seemed clear and ready.

It was only a couple of days before the trip that I wondered about something most long haulers mention and despise; jetlag.

That aweful feeling right after arriving somewhere more than 3 or 4 timezones away. I’ve heard colleagues say it affects them for days, makes you lathergic and completely disrupts your sleeping patterns.

I’m happy to say that a month on from the trip, and having returned back to Malta, I still haven’t experienced Jet Lag.

The trick – Timeshifter

Image result for timeshifter

I came across this great app as I was preparing for the trip, and decided to try it. Timeshifter is built specifically to combat jet lag, and works on both iPhone and Android devices. After a quick survey to determine your chronotype (early bird/night owl), it uses circadian neuroscience to come up with a guided plan to get travelers on their destination time zone before they get there. The result should be a seamless transition, little to no jet lag, and an overall greater experience travelling across multiple time zones. The plan shows a schedule of when to sleep, when to avoid light, when to have or avoid caffeine, and when to stay up and get exposed to light. The nifty 3 hour view makes it easy to follow and stay on top of the plan.

What I also liked is that it justifies each part of the schedule with the science behind it, adding confidence.

It also does it while factoring in your travelling itinerary. So in my case, I inputted all my flight details, with 2 stop overs at Larnaca and Dubai before getting to Tokyo Japan. With that in hand, the app overlays the flights onto the schedule, and shows when to sleep/stay awake/use caffeine.

From our party of four travellers, two of us followed the timeshifter schedule, sleeping on parts of the flights, avoid light in others, and staying awake with caffeine when prompted. Our two other travelling companions decided to wing it; sleeping when they felt like, and not giving any regard when to have coffee and when not to.

There was definitely a stark difference in our experience arriving in Tokyo. Having used Timeshifter, my partner and I experienced no jet lag at all, staying up till the time suggested by the app, and waking up the next day ready to hit the Disneyland parks. Our travelling partners on the other hand were sluggish for the next 2 days, and barely enjoyed any rides in the parks. Their sleeping patterns were disrupted; waking up really early in the morning, while we woke up naturally at a decent 7am.

The pricing on the app is also quite fair. You get your first timeshift for free, which is a great bonus. Beyond that, you get to choose between around €8 for a single or roundtrip, or if you’re a globetrotter you can go for the €20 annual subscription covering all your trips.

Honestly, I can’t recommend it enough. The process is quick, using a simple intuitive interface, and you don’t even need to have an internet connection to access the plan once you’ve created it.

Oh, and did I mention it is widely endorsed by astronauts? Those guys can’t be wrong!

Have you tried this app or similar? Get in touch and tell me about your experience.

That didn’t last long..

Clearly that one post in January did not have a lasting effect. It’s July, and just getting back to this. Don’t you find life keeps getting in the way of doing any real writing?

I’ve been having some ideas on areas to blog about. The area of social anxiety is one of them. It intrigues me as I happen to be a sufferer myself, and other sufferers are not that easy to find, since they’re usually in a corner somewhere not wishing to be found..

Guess who’s back

This morning I happened to stop by my local bookstore after nipping into the pharmacy for some essentials. Something I’ve done many times before – this time they even had a sale on the 2nd book – lovely.

2 books later, I’m off home, having unassumingly picked up Stephanie Vanderslice’s book – .The Geek’s Guide to the Writing Life: An Instructional Memoir for Prose Writers. I had no particular reason for picking this book up, except that lingering feeling of something left undone, a loose end still needing tying.

Turns out that a couple of years ago, I went through a similar phase of ‘writing’ exploration. I always liked reading and writing in English in Secondary school, but my later academics took me very far from the classical languages and into the area of information systems and technology. What could be further away from writing, right?

Nevertheless, I’ve always been bothered by this nagging feeling that I should be putting down words somewhere. Counteracting this feeling though, is the even bigger sensation that I have no business putting words to paper (or keyboard), and that I should leave this to people who have been writing their whole lives, and chose career paths that reflect this. This becomes even more apparent to me every time I come across anything I’ve written in the past. You know when you see yourself in a video from 5 years ago and wonder what on earth possessed you to wear that shirt, or how you could ever think that going out in those pants made you look good? It’s a similar feeling I find, looking at my previous articles.

That said, I wonder, is this something every writer naturally goes through? The self doubt and self criticism that makes one want to dispel thoughts of ‘writing’ into the abyss of pipedreams. Three chapters into Ms Vanderslice’s book, she is already treating this issue. Luckily, or unluckily for me, she advocates that one should be one’s own judge on whether they should keep writing or not. I’m not entirely sure this helps me gain confidence or face reality, but since we’re mentioning confidence, I should say I am a stark introvert, with generally a low confidence in my own ‘performing’ abilities. I use the word ‘performing’ purposefully here. I regard writing as an art, and therefore a process that produces something that is ultimately showcased. I do not regard myself as a low confidence person in general. I consider myself quite confident in other areas in my life – my job, my friendships, the role I play within my family – but when it comes to ‘performing’, this has always been an area of low confidence for me. I guess this explains my hesitation at displaying any written work to the world.

But, as I mentioned a bit earlier, a couple of years ago I did. I had almost forgotten about it. We live in an age where we create so many online accounts on this website and the other, that it becomes easy to forget all of our memberships. In 2016, I had created a WordPress blog. I remember it was around the time of the Brexit referendum in the UK, and no doubt this had sparked some of my articles. I revisited that blog today, and even went through the forgot password process to gain access to my dashboard. A couple of hundred views over 2 years – nothing worth mentioning.

Reading my previous work, I can’t say I’m ashamed, but clearly after 5 articles I stopped writing. I did not stick to it, and this is another point Stephanie Vanderslice brings up – the need for reserved time for writing. I remember having set aside time in the first couple of weeks – but clearly I did not keep this up.

That said, I am here now, writing this post as a resurfacing if you will. I write it for no one in particular except myself, if only to show myself that in 2019 I restarted this effort to write.

The World with just a 100 of us

I came across two eye-openers today; a video and an image

The video shows how our world would be partitioned if you had to condense the current population to just a 100.

It puts some shocking facts in the limelight, like access to clean water and having a roof over your head.

Well worth a look.. (original youtube page here)

 

 

The image is an infographic by Jack Hagley which depicts the same concept. You can take a look here

 

Did this surprise you? Want to leave comment? Just hit leave reply below and let me know what you think.

Why the United States should not weigh in on Brexit

Ever heard your house owning neighbor advise the guy across the street to stay in an apartment block instead of getting his own house. He tells him ‘You’ll be stronger in the block’.

Over the course of the British EU Referendum campaign, the US has like many others put in its two cents.

Not surprising, we live in an opinionated world and that is good. The exchange of ideas makes for a sounder set of arguments. I in fact love hearing other people’s opinions.

What I don’t like hearing, is people advocating something they would not do themselves.

The US government, and President Barack Obama especially, have been on and on about how Britain is better off inside the EU. This comes as no surprise since Barack Obama and David Cameron have had a long standing political alliance, so one would expect the US President to be firmly on the Remain case.

The problem is, if there was an entity like the EU across the pond, it would be something that Americans would never ever want to join. Why? Because Americans love their sovereignty. I’d even go far as saying they love it more than the British.

So here is President Obama telling the British people that they are better off part of a club within which they have limited democratic say.

Let’s clarify that actually. The people of Britain get to elect a parliament. They also get to elect MEPs. Those MEPs are part of the wider European Parliament. The British Prime Minister is part of the 28 nation set of leaders that meet to have dinner and discuss policies and crises. Mixed in all this is the EU Commission who actually make laws, and these are unelected. British citizens have no say on who is on the commission, or who the president of the commission is. The British people’s parliament has an increasingly lesser say over law making in Britain, as more and more aspects of law are ‘streamlined’ and put forward by the commission.

So let’s look at the Sales pitch for Americans to join such a club.

Dear Americans. We know you have your federal system of governors, senators, congress, the house, and government. You elect all these, including your president. That’s good, but consider this …

We’re putting together a club called the American Continent Union (ACU). We’re inviting all the countries on the North and South American continent to join up. It’s quite nifty actually. If you join, you get to have a say in what happens over the whole continent. We’ll give you seats on a parliament and you can elect members based on your size. You’ll have to pay a membership fee of course, which is also relative to your size, but that pot gets distributed across initiatives over the continent so it’s going to a good cause!

Oh and there’s an ACU commission that will run the law making for all the ACU member countries. Don’t worry too much about this, it will make your jobs easier as most laws will come from this commission instead of taking time out from your own congress. We’ll be sharing everything from military intelligence to resources. Win-win.

Your president can attend the ACU leaders meetings when something extraordinary comes up of course, but the ACU commission ultimately decides policy. You won’t be able to just make agreements with other countries either; the ACU will need to sign off on all those.

Does that sound like a club any American would want to join?

Don’t get me wrong, I think the EU has a sound purpose at heart and has achieved great things, however off track it might have gotten recently, but out of all the countries in the world, the least I would expect to advocate the UK staying in the EU is big proud US of A.

It’s like I love driving my own car. But I’m advising someone to stay in the carpool club because it makes them stronger.

Do I think they’re not good enough to drive their own car like I do?

The real reason USA prefers the United Kingdom inside the EU is perhaps more politically motivated than anything else. Maybe having a close ally sitting at a table with 27 other nations is a valuable source information about what’s going on in that club, even if not necessarily in the interest of the ally’s citizens.

Do you agree? Want to leave comment? Just hit leave reply below and let me know what you think.

28 nation bloc, or is it?

I’m sitting here, hot chocolate in hand and watching Sky News.

Something interesting caught my ear. I’m trying to find the exact source but basically along the lines of …

French president Francios Hollande and Angela Merkel have had a half hour long phone conversation and have decided the way forward with regards to the UK exiting the EU.

What irritates me about this, which by the way were commonplace during the Grexit crisis, is that this is meant to be a 28 nation bloc. There is meant to be a democratic process within the institution itself. How is it that within an organization of 28 countries, two big players have a phone call and make a decision.

Where are the other nations?

It pains me to see this, as the EU has a number of good qualities, but events like this makes it feel like the other countries are second class citizens. The club clearly has a core group.

Earlier today and yesterday both Francois Hollande and Jean Claude Juncker have said that Britian needs to trigger Article 50 ASAP.

Is this a sign of the usual ‘bullying’ starting?

Legally the referendum is an instruction to parliament. The EU council has no right to force UK to start the process, especially given the political instability that needs to be sorted out first. Forcing the UK to start Article 50 before a firm government ready for negotiations is in place just demolishes any chance for the UK to walk away with a good deal.

Doesn’t feel too democratic to me.

Brexit – the top 7 things people are getting wrong

June 26, 2016

1. Voting ‘Leave’ means the UK is out of the EU

Wrong.

Voting is voting; it’s an instruction to Parliament, not an automatic trigger. You may have heard ‘Article 50’ mentioned a couple of hundred times in the last 48 hours. That’s the EU version of the big red button that a country presses to put the red alarm light on and start evacuating. OK I’m dramatizing. Invoking Article 50 kicks off the process of negotiation with the EU on who gets the couch and who gets the summer house; you get what I mean. This process can take up to 2 years, during which time both parties negotiate a deal for future relationship, at which point the country is considered to be outside the EU.

But, and this is a very big but, the process doesn’t actually start until the UK pushes that big red button. And here’s the sweetest part; Brussels cannot push it themselves. How’s that for a pressure situation? So in reality, from a legal perspective, nothing has actually changed in the immediate term. The UK still has to ‘abide’ by EU law, and British citizens still have all their EU rights. The downside is that the legal picture isn’t the only picture. We’ve all seen Sterling take a kick in the groin, and that has a number of effects on financial institutions. Nevertheless, those actually conversant with Sterling and the FTSE share index can tell you that the hit was not as bad as the Remainers were forecasting.

Bottom Line

This vote says Britain wants to leave, but the actual process of leaving is one that needs to take its time and be done right.

 

2. The markets have crashed

Wrong.

This has been widely miscommunicated and abused by one side of the argument. I hate to nitpick, but being a data analyst I can’t let this one slide.

So as soon as it was clear Brexit was going to cross the finish line, we all saw Sterling take a fall. It fell from 1.50 dollars to 1.30 dollars, and from 1.31 euros to 1.20 euros.

What we also need to keep in mind here is that that drop happened during what is called ‘overnight trading’. This trading is not during the usual market times, and happens in smaller volumes. By morning, Sterling had climbed back to 1.36 dollars and 1.23 euros, and by the end of the day it had stabilized at those values, in part due to the actions taken by the Bank of England.

That morning, people were flooded with the idea that this hadn’t happened to Sterling since 1985, leading people to believe that Sterling hadn’t been this low or weak for decades, prompting a lot of posts on social media suggesting Sterling was now garbage and British wouldn’t be going on holiday for a very long time.

If you actually look at the numbers and charts, it’s clear that the high dip was partly due to Sterling having gone up when markets thought that a Remain vote would win. We call this ‘pricing in’ a Remain vote. When the opposite became clear, the market adjusted.

Most of us saw this view after Brexit was confirmed. (original graphs courtesy of XE.com)

Brexit1N

 

Natural reaction? Holy %$#. Looks dreadful right? Yes, Sterling took a dive from 1.5 dollars to 1.36 dollars.  But is it the weakest it’s been since 1985?

Let’s take a look of Sterling against Euro over a wider time frame..

Brexit2N

Well what do you know? Last April Sterling was also at 1.23 euros. Hmmm.

Many will justify this as nerves because of the referendum itself. Correct. The last time that Sterling was at 1.23 against the Euro before that date was 2014, 9th June 2014 to be exact. And you know what else? Just take a look at the graph before that date; Sterling was actually lower against the Euro.

Brexit3N

What does this mean?

  1. Sterling was not at its worst since 1985. The correct statement is that Sterling hadn’t taken such a sharp dip in one day since 1985, but given that the country had just decided to leave a union it’s been in for the last 40 years, one can expect a dip.
  2. The so called Armageddon post referendum scenario is not even as bad as the recession scenario from pre 2014.

You know what else? All the talk about the stock market taking a hit? Did you know that on Friday 25th June (the day after the referendum), the FTSE100 actually closed higher than the previous Friday? You probably didn’t, because that’s not the message the Remainers were putting out there.

Bottom Line

Expect some market volatility, but the situation has already stabilized, and the Bank of England has made assurances that there are plenty of contingencies in place to weather this period of uncertainty. Will Sterling be back up to 1.31 next week? Not a chance. Does that mean the economy is in the tank? Well if it wasn’t in the tank last April then it isn’t in the tank now at the same price.

So when should we get worried?

If there comes a time when market trading is suspended to prevent further losses, that’s the time to worry. For now that doesn’t seem to be happening.

 

 

3. The UK now has 350 million a week to spend

Not really.

This figure by the Leave campaign has caused many a scuffle in the last weeks and months. They sold the amount to the British public and insinuated that one may decide to put that money towards the NHS.

Saying that is like getting a 5000 pound raise and saying ‘ye I can spend that on a boat’. Yes you could. And you could also drive a car with your feet but it doesn’t make it a good idea. In reality you might get away with spending 2500 on a boat and the rest on keeping the other parts of your life afloat. That’s how reality works.

The other fit the Remain camp had is because the 350 million figure is more of a gross amount, which means it doesn’t factor in what the UK gets back from the EU in other forms. When you factor that in, the number becomes more along the line of 250 million. Does that mean it shouldn’t be a factor? From the way people voted, clearly 200 million a week is still a chunk of change.

How that is ‘spent’ will now be up to the treasury, and only post-exit. For the time being, as we’ve already said, the UK keeps paying its membership fee, and EU keeps paying those lovely grants, project funds and agriculture subsidies everyone loves so much. If and when the exit becomes final, and the UK sends its last membership fee with a nice little ‘see you later’ bow, the treasury better have a solid plan on how to redistribute that money to make up for all the things the EU won’t be paying for anymore. There’s undoubtedly going to be a long list of people anxiously waiting to see whether they will still get their grants, project funding and subsidies. This rules out the possibility of spending it all on something like the NHS. It’s just not practical or fair.

Clearly, the treasury’s job has become a lot harder, as even though it will have a bit more coin in its budget, it needs to factor in a lot more Oliver Twist hands.

Bottom Line

The 350 million is more like 250, and the chances of it being sent to just one cause like the NHS, is slim to none.

 

 

4. The older generation has doomed the younger one

Maybe. Maybe not.

This is a tough one. Polls suggest that there is a clear demarcation between the young vote and the older vote. The older bracket seems to have gone strongly for a Brexit, while the younger generation went for Remain.

The reasons for this can be many and varied. One can only speculate, so best stick to things we actually do know.

a) Traditionally, younger people have very poor turnout at elections. In the 2010 UK General Election, only 50% of the 18 to 24s turned out to vote. In the previous 2 General Elections it was even lower than that.

Brexit4

This suggests that historically, the younger voters tend to be more out of touch with the political landscape and matters that extend beyond their immediate line of sight. If you ask me, yes younger people should speak up about the EU, but they’ve been consistently not doing their homework on the political landscape, so expecting to come and vote in a referendum and pretend to know all the facts is somewhat foolish to say the least.

b) Older people have spent more time in the EU, and have seen it evolve. They’re the generation that have seen the EU grow from a couple of nations to the 28 (soon to be 27) bloc organization it is today. The shape and form of the EU has changed substantially since the last question on the UK’s membership of the EU, and clearly this has not pleased a lot of people.

c) Young tend to benefited more from the EU. The EU has a good social and economic policy when it comes to young people having opportunities. Any student who has taken a semester abroad, or applied for work within the EU bloc of countries no doubt sees the EU as a godsend. In this regard, the EU makes movement much easier, and that makes finding jobs and experiences easier. Whether those young people would still feel the EU is a wholly positive project in their later years is another matter.

Bottom Line

History will judge this move in its own time, and sentiments of ‘doom’ from today may be forgotten if the UK comes out stronger within 5 years. At the very least, the older generation should be respected as the ones that did not have it easy. They did not have free grants and Erasmus experiences that we take for granted today. If they voted to remove EU management and start paying for those things from the Treasury’s coffers, they must have thought that what the EU management took in return was something far greater than what it was giving. Time will tell.

 

 

5. This will trigger the end of the EU

Maybe. Maybe not.

The EU has been going through some tough times in the last decade. Euro skepticism is on the rise, and far right parties across Europe are gaining traction. The prospect of a country leaving the EU has been held next to Armageddon for a number of years now. We do not have to go far back to remember the uncertainty caused in Grexit times, when Greece was in such a bad state that it was considering leaving the EU.

Greece and the UK’s circumstances are vastly different, but they both indicate an undertone of discontent. Many have speculated that a Brexit will create a domino effect across the EU nations, and make it more probable that others get the courage to exit. From the reactions of EU leaders in the last 24hrs it is clear that this is a credible fear, and there is a mad scramble to send a clear message to EU nations that UK will be dealt with harshly so as to avoid a contagion effect (i.e. other countries also jumping ship).

Whether this will actually lead to the end of the EU is anyone’s guess. In an ideal world, the EU takes some hard lessons away from this, and goes on a path to re-affirm it’s values and re-instill democracy into its institution; reducing red tape and devolving certain powers back to the individual EU nations. Over time, the EU and the UK can be important strategic partners. The UK may even be considered an associate partner.

Bottom Line

It all depends on the stance taken by the EU. If it stomps its feet and plays the bully card as it did with Greece, the opportunity for reform will pass and the negative undercurrents will continue to fester.

 

Let’s all hope for the first picture. I like that picture.

 

 

6. Scotland will become its own country

Could be, but I doubt it.

Look, let’s not pretend there aren’t forces at play that have been itching for an excuse to call another referendum on independence. That will always be the case. Did this give them that excuse? It definitely did. But is breaking away from the United Kingdom what Scotland really wants?

Let’s not forget, this question was put to the Scottish people only 2 years ago, and it was strongly rejected at 55.3%, with a very high turnout of 84.6%.

I know what you’re thinking..’But that was before the UK decided to call it quits with the EU’. Right?

True, but an ICM poll for Scotland On Sunday newspaper asked Scots whether they would want an independence referendum if the UK voted for Brexit against Scotland’s will. The results of that poll found that 48% are against a post-Brexit vote on independence, and 44% are for it (8% don’t know) , which indicates that although there would be some movement in sentiment, it would not be earth shattering. Let’s keep in mind, this is just a poll, and polls have been wrong before; just ask Ed Milliband.

But aside from all that; Scotland calling it quits with the United Kingdom isn’t straightforward, and Scotland needs to think long and hard about what it will be giving up to gain a seat at the big EU table, an EU table that is not well known for giving much regard to what proud countries such as Scotland think when it comes to issues they disagree on.

Bottom Line

Sure Scotland can leave the UK, but Scotland might well find itself bordering a non EU country and have very few EU allies, with its biggest historical ally waving a nostalgic flag across the border.

 

7. There will be another EU referendum

Wrong. Unless someone redefined ‘Democracy’ and I missed it.

In the last 24 hours, a key petition has been put forward to have a do-over of the referendum. At the time of writing this piece, it stands at over 2 million people signed. That’s quite a number. We should stop and think. Maybe we should actually set a new date and redo this referendum because hey, 2 million is a big number.

Sure let’s do that, and let’s also ditch democracy and the 17.4 million that voted to Leave.

What kind of democracy would it be if we had do-overs? Never mind the countless resources that would need to be mobilized and expended, as well as the fatigue that the country is already under because of the months of non-stop campaigning, what would this really achieve?

When’s the last time we had a do-over on an election? Never. Why? Because it doesn’t work that way.

What’s funny is, Sky News actually went to the trouble of setting up a #Bregretters tag to give people that voted Leave and are regretting it an opportunity to speak up.  Last I checked it didn’t get much traction and that’s saying something.

Sour grapes anyone?

Bottom Line

The best thing for the country right now is to present a strong United Kingdom that is ready to negotiate with the EU and get the best deal it can. Petitioning for a another referendum is not helping anyone get on with it.

The lounge starts to take shape

Picture a room where the day’s trivial thoughts fall away. A lounge with comfortable sofas, low tables and good company. The feeling is reminiscent of the drawing rooms of old, where evenings were spent in stimulating conversation and the odd bout of harmless mischief.

This is the image I have in mind as I start putting together this blog. I do not yet know what will come of it or where it will lead, but I hope it will be an interesting place with a mix of humor, opinion and a touch of fun. The air is optimistic and somewhat festive, as if I’m buying a round of drinks.

And so this blog is born, looking forward to good posts and lively exchange. I believe on such occasions a toast is warranted, and while we’re here, why not make it a double..